澳洲代写论文：金融建模
澳洲代写论文：金融建模
金融建模是一项重要的工作，涉及复杂的决策。行业中的人们正在使用不同的复杂方法。这些方法主要是统计的。这里使用了各种预测方法来分析财务建模的不同方面。首先使用不同的方法预测销售额。除了正常的统计方法外，还使用了考虑到外部数据的回归。所有的结果都出现在下面的报告中。虽然这些方法不是预测变量的简单方法，使用模型也有缺点。这些方法用于预测销售价值。该公司的成本也预测。使用这个和公司的资本成本计算公司的股价。此股价计算采用自由现金流量法进行。股票的价值超过目前的价值，牢记未来的销售增长会更高。
但是投资者需要知道这些缺陷才能有效地使用模型。如果投资者可以知道公司的缺陷，那么投资者可以很容易地准确预测未来的收入，从而做出合理的决策。
澳洲代写论文：金融建模
媒体发布
该公司估计并于2014年7月25日发售的销售额为160亿美元。然而，该公司估计的利润是3.2亿美元。
该模型的销售预测近200亿美元，盈利预测为2.32亿美元
长期增长率为3.5％（长期增长率+通货膨胀率）。预计长期增长率为0.5％，而澳大利亚央行网站的通胀率为3％。这一比率也加到了权益成本中，因为在抵消现金流量的同时不包括通货膨胀成本。
股票的价值达到63。
澳洲代写论文：金融建模
Financial modelling is an important exercise and it involves complex decisions. There are different complex methods which are being used by the different by the people in the industry. These methods are mainly statistical in nature. Here various methods of forecasting have been used to analyse the different aspects of financial modelling. First the sales are forecasted using different methods. Apart from the normal statistical methods, regression which takes into account the external data has also been used. All the results have been present in the following report. Although these methods are not fool proof methods to forecast the variables and there are disadvantages to use the models. These methods are used to forecast the sales value. The cost of the firm is also forecasted. Using this and the cost of the capital of the firm the share price of the firm is calculated. This share price calculation is done using the free cash flow method. The value of the stock comes more than the current value keeping in the mind that the future growth of the sales will be higher.
However investor needs to know these deficiencies to use the model efficiently. If the investor can know the defects of the firm then it can be easy for the investor to accurately forecast the future income and thus the can make sound decisions.
澳洲代写论文：金融建模
Media Release
The sale which is estimated by the company and released on 25/07/2014 is $16 billion. However the profit estimated by the firm is $320m.
The sales forecast of the model is almost $20 billion and the profit forecast $232m
The long term growth rate value is taken as the 3.5% (long term growth rate +inflation). The long term growth rate is estimated to be 0.5% and inflation is taken from the RBA website to be 3%. This rate is also added to the cost of equity as it would be inconsistent to not include cost of inflation while discounting the cash flows.
The value of the share comes to 63.
